Belphor Data · Market regime

Was the last week a bull, crab or bear week for pump.fun migrations?

Updated 2026-10-16 · by AtroX · seven days to 15 Oct 2026: crab week · recomputed daily from the raw record

For the seven days from 9 Oct 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 (UTC) the score is +0.15: Crab week. Crab week: 4.4 percent of migrations were above their migration price at their latest reading, against an average of 5.2 percent since 1 September. This describes the last 7 days, not the next. Updated 2026-10-16.

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Cite as: Belphor Research (2026). Was the last week a bull, crab or bear week for pump.fun migrations? Belphor Data, https://www.belphor.com/data/market-regime. Updated 2026-10-16. Inputs 528ed8498340, formula 1.1, covered 17,064, missing 31. CC BY 4.0.

The four shares

ShareCountReadingsLast 7 daysAverageStandard deviationAverage sinceDays averagedDistance (SDs)Counts in the score as
Migrations above the migration price at the last mark831,9084.4%5.23%1.76%1 Sep 202645-0.50-0.50
Migrations that reached +50 percent4671,90824.5%14.58%6.29%1 Sep 202645+1.57+1.57
Migrations down 80 percent or more (counted against)1,7831,90893.4%92.72%2.34%1 Sep 202645+0.31-0.31
Ignitions scoring 65 or more not down 80 percent24829883.2%84.20%5.38%9 Sep 202637-0.18-0.18

The score is the average of the last column: +0.15. Above +0.5 is a bull week, below -0.5 a bear week, anything between a crab week. Readings are the signals with a price reading at least six hours after detection.

How this is measured

Every morning at 05:30 UTC Belphor takes the seven full UTC days ending the day before and computes four shares from its own record, over the signals with a price reading at least six hours after detection, as on every other data page: pump.fun migrations above their migration price at the last mark, migrations that reached +50 percent, migrations down 80 percent or more, and momentum ignitions scoring 65 or more that are not down 80 percent. Each share is pooled over the seven days (the sum of the counts over the sum of the readings). For each share it takes the same seven-day figure on every day of the 60 days ending that day, and finds how many standard deviations (sample) this week's figure sits from their average; at least 7 such days are needed, and until 60 exist the migration figures start on 1 September 2026 and the ignition figures on 9 September 2026, the first full week of the current ignition scanner. The share down 80 percent or more counts against. The score is the average of the four distances: above +0.5 is a bull week, below -0.5 a bear week, anything between a crab week, decided before rounding. Signals whose price cannot be verified are left out as on the other pages (a market cap above $250M at detection, or a peak of 100x or more with no matching price snapshot). The marks are read when the page is computed, so the last day's signals are read before their full 24 hours. The JSON and CSV files carry the daily counts behind every figure, so all of it can be recomputed by hand. It describes the last 7 days, not the next.

Frequently asked

What kind of week was it for pump.fun migrations?

Crab week, with a score of +0.15 for the seven days to 15 Oct 2026. Crab week: 4.4 percent of migrations were above their migration price at their latest reading, against an average of 5.2 percent since 1 September. This describes the last 7 days, not the next.

What goes into the score?

Migrations above the migration price at the last mark: 4.4% (83 of 1,908) against an average of 5.23% since 1 Sep 2026; Migrations that reached +50 percent: 24.5% (467 of 1,908) against an average of 14.58% since 1 Sep 2026; Migrations down 80 percent or more (counted against): 93.4% (1,783 of 1,908) against an average of 92.72% since 1 Sep 2026; Ignitions scoring 65 or more not down 80 percent: 83.2% (248 of 298) against an average of 84.20% since 9 Sep 2026. The score is the average of their distances from those averages in standard deviations, with the share down 80 percent or more counted against. It describes the last 7 days, not the next.

Where does this data come from?

From Belphor's migration detector and momentum scanner and the DexScreener prices it marks them with, recomputed daily from the raw record. The JSON and CSV files on this page contain the same numbers and the daily counts behind them.

This is the record Belphor keeps

Belphor records pump.fun takeovers on-chain, scores each signal 0 to 100 and publishes measured outcomes with their sample sizes, windows and missing readings. Reflex Bot is coming soon and priced separately.

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